Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.210077 11.774803 13.454310 15.385843 17.540438 19.864468 22.555243
2025-08-31 7.691768 9.713272 12.042285 14.904067 18.304548 22.194141 26.956455
2025-09-07 6.414506 8.680950 11.434901 14.987082 19.403210 24.666394 31.362444
2025-09-14 5.473539 7.866749 10.910672 15.000583 20.278891 26.783222 35.316371
2025-09-21 4.809994 7.295033 10.586089 15.167991 21.273581 29.012491 39.428730
2025-09-28 4.217039 6.730289 10.187374 15.161154 21.985226 30.857295 43.074470
2025-10-05 3.852875 6.435575 10.109442 15.548846 23.201911 33.369604 47.643621
2025-10-12 3.506823 6.121409 9.962307 15.805572 24.222934 35.633045 51.938158
2025-10-19 3.163204 5.767988 9.717426 15.886309 24.976180 37.535815 55.787083
2025-10-26 2.746861 5.249120 9.172925 15.473955 24.979689 38.375355 58.178265
2025-11-02 2.412951 4.825505 8.732999 15.175117 25.111044 39.372322 60.791834
2025-11-09 2.117306 4.431505 8.301955 14.849789 25.167959 40.241898 63.227813
2025-11-16 1.859648 4.077641 7.909748 14.562315 25.270965 41.189417 65.825035
2025-11-23 1.604363 3.695767 7.434592 14.101426 25.070079 41.665951 67.737389
2025-11-30 1.464731 3.517883 7.294805 14.180732 25.714878 43.419645 71.572404
2025-12-07 1.330501 3.333526 7.125654 14.193632 26.244009 45.004147 75.189607
2025-12-14 1.229848 3.205597 7.047065 14.353587 27.012965 46.974567 79.436680
2025-12-21 1.118394 3.040026 6.882518 14.347054 27.497548 48.507686 83.048854
2025-12-28 1.061088 2.986861 6.927907 14.717538 28.628003 51.089595 88.341954
2026-01-04 0.994539 2.904112 6.907450 14.962910 29.549518 53.359646 93.201921
2026-01-11 0.916572 2.784177 6.801698 15.040084 30.177596 55.168694 97.376902
2026-01-18 0.802301 2.559267 6.460283 14.645965 29.954360 55.573679 99.324987
2026-01-25 0.709919 2.374920 6.186071 14.360396 29.904486 56.252540 101.716501